Swing Trading Update – The Retrace – 1.29.16

Well for Swing Traders this was the week of the "retrace". Monday we saw the markets drift lower all day but the volume didnt really kick in. Swing Trading Strategies - 1.29.16

Tuesday and Wednesday gave traders a big clue as we watched the market basically fight to find a direction.

On Tuesday the clue was an "up" day on increased volume compared to Mondays "down" day on light volume.

Wednesday we had an "outside" day on even bigger volume with a close on the low end of the trading range for the day.

Thursdays light volume "inside" day let you know that the market was taking a "pause" and would more than likely (nothing is for certain) continue is retrace to the upside soon.

Friday we watched as the market did just that. The $SPY had some nice volume to the upside while the $DIAs volume lagged a bit.

Both charts however showed a good combination of price and volume to at least let you know what side of the market (the long side) was the right side to be on.

As we look through the charts of the sector ETFs we see a few good trade setups assuming of course that you are a counter trend trader.

A long trade in $XLE set up nicely as it did in $IYF and even $XLK for those brave traders.

A note on the GOLD ETF's here…

$GOLD ripped to the highs this week with $GDX and $NUGT looking better as well. $ABX is shaping up and maybe taking a look at Silver $SLX would be wise.

As we look forward to trading tomorrow just remember that we are trading under the 50 day SMA AND that we are in a down channel.

With that being said there is a lot of white space on the charts to the upside if the buyers want to push us back a little closer that 50 day "trendline".

If you are a short term swing trader then look to adjust your risk/reward on these counter trend trades so that the math still works for you.

I personally dont think the we are anywhere near done on the short side but time will tell. In the meantime we will continue listen to what the market tells us and trade appropriately.

We hope you do the same. Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

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