Archive for the ‘Swing Trading Technical Analysis’ Category

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – July 8, 2011

Sunday, July 10th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

Traders watched as the indices pushed higher this holiday shortened week.

One thing to point out this week is the fact that an oversold or overbought market can still become MORE oversold or overbought.

A lot of Swing Traders were prepared to SHORT this latest rally but when the market moved higher Wednesday and Thursday some were caught in the mix.

Now if you have a tried and true (and tested!) strategy for trading against the market then have at it!

There are a million ways to make money trading so far be it from us to tell you how to trade.

What we are saying though is don't start trading by the seat of your pants using the latest overbought/oversold indicator or oscillator.

There is no doubt that a retrace in the market will happen…it is just a matter of when.

Friday's price action (Gap Down and Reverse) tells us that the BUYERS are still there.

When we open for trading on Monday that could all change but for now don't try to guess what what the market will do.

As we look at the charts for next week we can see that the market is still extended a bit.

There are a ton of good looking charts to watch in the future.

One sector  that stood out this week was Real Estate.

Here is a look at the chart for the Dow Jones Real Estate sector ETF ($IYR).

$IYR - Swing Trading ETF

From a technical analysis perspective $IYR put in a higher low at the end of last month.

As the market rallied recently $IYR has traded up to a NEW HIGH for the year on Thursday.

$RTH - Swing Trading ETF

The Retail sector ETF ($RTH) has also rallied nicely as is flirting with NEW HIGHS.

Watch out for the possible overhead resistance in the $114 area first though.

The Technology sector is also on our Watch List as we move forward from here.

Here is a look at $XLK

$XLK - Swing Trading ETF

As far as individual stocks go keep an eye on $AMZN, $ERTS, $JAZZ, $ELN, $LULU and $HAL just to name a few.

Like we said earlier there are a TON of stocks that should be on your list this week.

The volatility is likely to continue so keep that in mind as we head into trading this week.

As always have plan in place for whatever the market decides to do from here.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review June 24, 2011

Sunday, June 26th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

After a the short term retrace continued until mid week traders watched as the overall market again pushed lower to close the week.

The weakness continues in the market and Thursdays GAP DOWN had traders looking again to the SHORT side for trades.

As we take a look at the sector ETF's we see weakness across the board.

Energy and Oil remain weak.

USO - Swing Trading ETF

The Financials and Broker/Dealers got hammered.

IAI - Swing Trading ETF

Agriculture is holding on by a thread.

DBA - Swing Trading ETF

If we look the through the charts of the stocks in our database we see a mixed bag.

Some of the NON CORRELATED stocks are actually showing some strength.

$ELN, $LULU, $CROX and $FIRE are on this list.

A few "market" or CORRELATED are as well.

Take a look at $TIF, $BOBE, $BBY and $COG.

As we move into next week look for the signs or clues that the market gives.

If we will continue to trade lower the sellers should step in so take notice.

If the sellers don't show themselves we could chop around a bit while traders decide where we go from here.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – June 10, 2011

Sunday, June 12th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

And DOWN WE GO!

Inverse ETF's rally and the SHORTS come out in droves.

Traders watched the overall market continue its sell off this week.

After four days of sideways trading the sellers stepped in again on Friday and pushed the market down to new multi month lows.

Almost every sector on the map felt the pain.

Technology related ETF's continued to fall.

XLK - Swing Trading ETF

Real Estate and Financial ETF's got pummeled.

XLF - Swing Trading ETF

The Energy and Oil ETF's that were showing signs of strength last week are now not looking so strong.

If these sectors break down through the near term support levels they definitely have room to fall.

XLE - Swing Trading ETF

The market looks ripe to continue to move lower as the strongest stocks look to be "rolling over".

If you are looking to the SHORT side for trades try to find stocks or ETF's that are not yet extended to the downside.

If you are not comfortable with SELLING SHORT then you can always look to "get long" some Inverse ETF's.

As always be prepared for anything and act accordingly.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – May 27, 2011

Monday, May 30th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The BIG GAP DOWN we saw on Monday extended the month long correction we have seen in the overall market.

The market is now hoovering near it's 50 day SMA as we saw a bit of a rebound by weeks end.

As we look over our sector ETF LIST it is a mixed bag.

The Retail ETF ($RTH) has pulled back off of it recent high and is still trading above its 50 day SMA.

$RTH - Swing Trading ETF

The Real Estate ETF ($IYR) is equally as strong in the short term.

$IYR - Swing Trading ETF

The oversold  Steel, Energy, and Oil ETF's put in a retrace back towards their 50 day SMA's.

The Gold ETF ($GLD) is starting to shine again so make sure this sector is on your list.

$GLD - Swing Trading ETF

So now that we are back trading near the 50 day SMA where does the market go from here?

Do we continue the short term DOWN TREND?

Do we chop around a bit while the buyers and sellers fight it out?

No one knows for sure but for now we continue to trade both sides on the market.

One stock that we are watching to see if it transitions from weak to strong?

Take a look at $CREE…

$CREE - Swing Trading

Keep both strong stocks ($ELN, $CTXS, $INFA, $ANF, etc) and weak ones ($SOHU, $ADSK, $HOG, $DOW) on your list and be prepared for whichever way the market goes from here.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

© Swing Trading Boot Camp 2024