Posts Tagged ‘Swing Trading Strategies’

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – June 10, 2011

Sunday, June 12th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

And DOWN WE GO!

Inverse ETF's rally and the SHORTS come out in droves.

Traders watched the overall market continue its sell off this week.

After four days of sideways trading the sellers stepped in again on Friday and pushed the market down to new multi month lows.

Almost every sector on the map felt the pain.

Technology related ETF's continued to fall.

XLK - Swing Trading ETF

Real Estate and Financial ETF's got pummeled.

XLF - Swing Trading ETF

The Energy and Oil ETF's that were showing signs of strength last week are now not looking so strong.

If these sectors break down through the near term support levels they definitely have room to fall.

XLE - Swing Trading ETF

The market looks ripe to continue to move lower as the strongest stocks look to be "rolling over".

If you are looking to the SHORT side for trades try to find stocks or ETF's that are not yet extended to the downside.

If you are not comfortable with SELLING SHORT then you can always look to "get long" some Inverse ETF's.

As always be prepared for anything and act accordingly.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – June 3, 2011

Sunday, June 5th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The DOWN move continues!

After one day of trading above its 50 day SMA the DJIA sold off for the rest of the holiday shorted week.

The push lower takes the markets to a new six week low.

Most (not all) sectors followed suit as the sellers came out in force.

The Financials ($XLF) and the Homebuilders ($XHB) were hit hard.

XLF - Swing Trading ETF

Technology ($XLK) and more specifically the Semiconductors ($SMH) also had a rough week.

SMH - Swing Trading ETF

Retail ($RTH) was holding up but finally gave way to the selling this week as well.

RTH - Swing Trading ETF

The Energy ($XLE) and Oil ($OIH) ETF's actually held up rather well this week.

OIH - Swing Trading ETF

Who knows if this SHORT TERM relative will hold up but it is something to watch as we move forward from here.

The Agriculture ETF's ($DBA $MOO) also are showing some signs of strength.

DBA - Swing Trading ETF

The overall market is pretty near a SHORT TERM oversold level so keep that in mind as we go into next week.

Don't chase the market down and wait for your setups to develop.

Be prepared for whatever the market does from here and as always…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – May 20, 2011

Sunday, May 22nd, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

After putting a LOWER HIGH last week traders watched as the market followed with a LOWER LOW this week.

Tuesdays trading actually brought the overall market down to a new low for the month of May.

The SELL OFF pushed the market back closer to its 50 day SMA and right on top of the previous break out level we saw a month ago.

This SHORT TERM correction in the market actually gives us a nice DESCENDING TRIANGLE (see chart above) to trade it we choose to do so.

A follow up on the Sector ETF's is in order so here it goes.

As we mentioned in last weeks BLOG POST the Energy and Oil ETF's had a very "steep" trend line in place.

These "steep" angles are hard to maintain and often times you will need to adjust your lines after price breaks out of these fast lines.

$XLE- Swing Trading ETF

The Steel sector ETF ($SLX) is a good example of a slight TREND LINE adjustment.

In the chart below you can see how after hitting the bottom of the longer term DOWN CHANNEL $SLX "bounced" out of the SHORT TERM channel.

$SLX - Swing Trading ETF

This "bounce" actually took price out of the SHORT TERM channel BUT it was still under its previous Swing High.

Fridays trading action confirmed the next move lower so we were now able to slightly "adjust" our trend line (in blue) to gives us context for our new channel.

One sector that has put in a nice orderly DOWN TREND is the Financial sector ETF ($IYF).

No adjustment to this trend line…

$IYF - Swing Trading ETF

As we move into next week we must admit that the warning signs are flashing for us.

The selling we saw on Friday is concerning to say the least but that being said the market is still holding (so far) above its 50 day SMA.

We are still trading both sides of the market and will continue to do so until the market decides where to go from here.

Be prepared for anything and have a plan in place and until next week…Good Trading to YOU!!!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – May 6, 2011

Saturday, May 7th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

The overall market SOLD OFF this week as sellers stepped and drove stocks lower.

The SELL OFF came in INCREASED VOLUME after the market pushed higher last week on less than stellar volume.

The SELL OFF has traders looking to INVERSE ETF's for possible trade setups in the very near future.

The Energy and Oil ETF's took a hit and and going to be sectors to watch moving into next week.

Agriculture ETF's continue to show weakness and the Steel sector could be headed towards a NEW LOW.

You can see a Technical Analysis walk through on one of the weak Agriculture stocks ($MOS) by clicking HERE.

The Retail and Semiconductor ETF's and holding up very well during this recent PULL BACK in the market.

Despite the recent selling pressure just remember that the market is still trading above its 50 day SMA.

The are more Swing Trading opportunities on BOTH sides of the market now so that tells us that we are at a pivotal point.

There are still plenty of strong stocks to watch ($R, $INFA, $K, $WLK, $ERTS, $M) so make sure to have a plan for next week.

If we trade higher on good volume next week the market could continue its move up.

If we trade higher and volume doesn't follow through then we could be in for another leg down in the near term.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

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