Posts Tagged ‘Swing Trading Chart Patterns’

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – June 3, 2011

Sunday, June 5th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The DOWN move continues!

After one day of trading above its 50 day SMA the DJIA sold off for the rest of the holiday shorted week.

The push lower takes the markets to a new six week low.

Most (not all) sectors followed suit as the sellers came out in force.

The Financials ($XLF) and the Homebuilders ($XHB) were hit hard.

XLF - Swing Trading ETF

Technology ($XLK) and more specifically the Semiconductors ($SMH) also had a rough week.

SMH - Swing Trading ETF

Retail ($RTH) was holding up but finally gave way to the selling this week as well.

RTH - Swing Trading ETF

The Energy ($XLE) and Oil ($OIH) ETF's actually held up rather well this week.

OIH - Swing Trading ETF

Who knows if this SHORT TERM relative will hold up but it is something to watch as we move forward from here.

The Agriculture ETF's ($DBA $MOO) also are showing some signs of strength.

DBA - Swing Trading ETF

The overall market is pretty near a SHORT TERM oversold level so keep that in mind as we go into next week.

Don't chase the market down and wait for your setups to develop.

Be prepared for whatever the market does from here and as always…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – May 27, 2011

Monday, May 30th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The BIG GAP DOWN we saw on Monday extended the month long correction we have seen in the overall market.

The market is now hoovering near it's 50 day SMA as we saw a bit of a rebound by weeks end.

As we look over our sector ETF LIST it is a mixed bag.

The Retail ETF ($RTH) has pulled back off of it recent high and is still trading above its 50 day SMA.

$RTH - Swing Trading ETF

The Real Estate ETF ($IYR) is equally as strong in the short term.

$IYR - Swing Trading ETF

The oversold  Steel, Energy, and Oil ETF's put in a retrace back towards their 50 day SMA's.

The Gold ETF ($GLD) is starting to shine again so make sure this sector is on your list.

$GLD - Swing Trading ETF

So now that we are back trading near the 50 day SMA where does the market go from here?

Do we continue the short term DOWN TREND?

Do we chop around a bit while the buyers and sellers fight it out?

No one knows for sure but for now we continue to trade both sides on the market.

One stock that we are watching to see if it transitions from weak to strong?

Take a look at $CREE…

$CREE - Swing Trading

Keep both strong stocks ($ELN, $CTXS, $INFA, $ANF, etc) and weak ones ($SOHU, $ADSK, $HOG, $DOW) on your list and be prepared for whichever way the market goes from here.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading BLOG – Week in Review – May 6, 2011

Saturday, May 7th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

The overall market SOLD OFF this week as sellers stepped and drove stocks lower.

The SELL OFF came in INCREASED VOLUME after the market pushed higher last week on less than stellar volume.

The SELL OFF has traders looking to INVERSE ETF's for possible trade setups in the very near future.

The Energy and Oil ETF's took a hit and and going to be sectors to watch moving into next week.

Agriculture ETF's continue to show weakness and the Steel sector could be headed towards a NEW LOW.

You can see a Technical Analysis walk through on one of the weak Agriculture stocks ($MOS) by clicking HERE.

The Retail and Semiconductor ETF's and holding up very well during this recent PULL BACK in the market.

Despite the recent selling pressure just remember that the market is still trading above its 50 day SMA.

The are more Swing Trading opportunities on BOTH sides of the market now so that tells us that we are at a pivotal point.

There are still plenty of strong stocks to watch ($R, $INFA, $K, $WLK, $ERTS, $M) so make sure to have a plan for next week.

If we trade higher on good volume next week the market could continue its move up.

If we trade higher and volume doesn't follow through then we could be in for another leg down in the near term.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Technical Analysis – $MOS

Sunday, May 1st, 2011

Swing Trading Technical Analysis

Will the DOWN TREND in $MOS continue or is a BREAK OUT in the near future?

$MOS - Swing Trading Technical Analysis

Let us walk you through our Technical Analysis for this potential swing trade.

The overall trend is obviously DOWN in $MOS.

The THICK BLACK lines indicate the dominant trend channel.

The horizontal BLUE line is a area of potential support since BUYERS have stepped in each time $MOS has traded down to this level.

The ORANGE lines indicate the short term trend channel that $MOS is currently trading in.

The other stocks in this sector are on the move so we are waiting to see what $MOS does in the days to come.

The push lower on INCREASED VOLUME we saw on Thursday was followed by an "inside day" on lower volume.

We consider this a "stall" and will wait to see how $MOS trades out of this chart pattern.

For the DOWN TREND to continue we would need to see PRICE move lower and VOLUME move higher.

Price would have to break through the previous support area and VOLUME (heavy selling) should accompany that to make it happen.

What would an UP move need to look like for us to take a trade?

A BREAK OUT of the ORANGE CHANNEL on INCREASED VOLUME would be a nice trade set up for us.

This would be an STS trade since there is still some overhead resistance to deal with.

Lets see how $MOS does over the next few days and come back to walk through it together.

** Part 2 is posted HERE**

We hope you find this Swing Trading Technical Analysis walk through helpful!

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