Archive for the ‘Swing Trading Charts’ Category

Short Swing Trading To Start The Year

Friday, January 8th, 2016

Well we started off the year with a SHORT Swing Trading bonanza now didnt we?

The DOW JONES and S&P close for trading and end the first week of 2016 DOWN TRIPLE DIGITS.

Right out of the gate on Monday (4th) morning we knew we were in for a wild ride this week.

The big GAP DOWN in the market was actually follow thorugh from the down move that started last week.

That being said we were already on HIGH ALERT for SHORT TRADES since the major indicies were all breaking below thier 50 day moving averages.

#SPY - Short Swing Trading Strategies

As we looked around at the different sectors we saw that most of the charts we showing continuation moves to the downside.

The semicondictors ($SMH), Technolgy ($XLK), Homebuilders ($XHB), and Financials ($XLF) all started their moves last week so getting short this week would have been chasing the market.

Energy and Oil ($XLE, $OIH) was a bit of an expeption and actually turned into a short swing trade signals on Wednesday. 

$XLE - Short Swing Trading ETF

 

Just in case you arent yet comfortable shorting stocks yet then #SCO was your inverse ETF to take a long trade on.

On a related note both $APA and $APC were short trading setups as well.

On the flip side the GOLD ETF's ($GDX $GLD $NUGT) showed signs of life as both ETF's broke up through their 50 day moving avergages.

As far as individual stocks go Ryder ($R) is a good example of a stock that offered a good short trading setup as the market traded lower on Wednesday.

$R - Short Swing Trading Strategies

As we move into next week we arent expecting much more a down move before the retrace starts. 

Could we continue to sell off next week?

Of course. Anything COULD happen.

But if it does we wont have much to trade since most of the moves are extended at this point.

We will wait for the retrace and then reevaluate from there.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – September 21, 2012

Sunday, September 23rd, 2012

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$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

After a nearly two week rally the market finished a "sideways" trading week on Friday.

Swing Traders expected a bit of a pullback after the strong run up but only the S&P has noticed.

The DJIA has barely retraced and the NASDAQ actually made NEW HIGHS mid week before stalling out Thursday and Friday.

$QQQ - Swing Trading ETF

The strength is good of course but as we have talking about moves like this become tricky to trade.

The market will retrace, that is for sure, but when and how much?

No one knows for sure but time will tell.

If the market moves in to new high territory Monday morning are you a buyer?

Should you be?

Understand that if the market takes off out of this sideways price pattern that you are dealing with a different animal.

A move up out this consolidation would be (what we consider) a "continuation" move. 

These type of moves happen once a market has run quite a bit, pauses and then takes off again.

More often than not the second time it takes off the move is short lived.

The move draws in a lot of traders and traps them once the market turns.

Up moves without retraces haven't shaken out the sellers yet.

The buyers are still LONG and not selling yet.

The SHORTS haven't stepped in yet but they are waiting patiently.

Once the move starts to lose steam it usually does it quickly.

The LONGS hit the bid and the SHORTS pile in driving the market lower in a hurry.

When trading these situations you need to adjust your expectations.

Trading a continuation move really deserves its own trading strategy or at least trading rules that take this pattern into account.

As we looked through the charts after the market closed Friday we see a lot of stocks and ETF's that have put in small retraces.

Most of these are also trading above their 50 day SMA's.

The strongest sector ETF's (Homebuilders, Gold, Gold Miners, Silver) are all still at on very near their highs.

$XHB - Swing Trading ETF

The Financials ($XLF $IAI) and Oil and Energy ETF's have pulled back a bit ($USO got whacked!).

$IAI - Swing Trading ETF

There are lots of individual stocks setting up nicely for some LONG trades.

As we move into next week make sure you update you Watch List and takes your trades as planned.

Understand which phase of the market you are in and look for the clues that the market gives you.

Remember to let your trades come to you and until next week….Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week In Review – August 24, 2012

Sunday, August 26th, 2012

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$DIA - Swing Trading Blog

Traders got the much anticipated pullback that they have been waiting for this week.

The week started off the a lackluster Monday but Tuesday traders flipped to the SELL SIDE after pushing the market up in early morning trading.

After two more days of selling pressure the market finished the week with a nice up day on Friday.

The type of price action we saw in the market this week came as no surprise since we were trading back up in the area of the yearly highs we reached  earlier this year.

Here is the weekly chart of the $DIA that we have posted for the past few weeks on our blog…

$DIA - Weekly Swing Trading Chart

You can see from the chart above that the market has some significant potential resistance in this area.

This creates a bit of an issue for some traders.

Do you get or stay LONG knowing that resistance level is directly ahead? Or do you wait to see how the market reacts to this area and possibly miss the breakout?

Well if you follow us on our blog or newsletters you will know how we do it.

We simply trade our plan and never try to outguess the market.

We have learned after years of trading that the market is always right.

As cliche as that sounds… it's true!

We trade our setups as they happen and never don't take trades based on what we think MAY happen.

Could we look back after the fact and wish we had done differently? Of course but as they say hindsight in always 20/20.

We have stops in place and a sound money management strategy so we let the do there thing.

If we are wrong we simply take our loss and move on and reevaluate.

If we are it is a very similar almost robotic process.

We exit at our profit target and move on and contemplate our next move.

Simply put we have a plan and we stick to it no matter what.

That being said as we look through the charts for this week we see lots of trades to the LONG side.

Most sectors are still strong with Retail ($RTH) breaking out again on Friday.

$RTH - Swing Trading ETF's

Technology and Oil and Energy remain strong while the Homebuilders and Financials are on the move again.

The Silver and Gold sectors RIPPED to the UP side this week so keep an eye on these ETF's and stocks in this sector…

$SLV - Silver Swing Trading ETF $GLD - Gold Swing Trading ETF

The market is likely to come out swinging Monday morning so be ready and have your plan in place.

Watch price action and volume for clues to where the market is headed next.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – February 3, 2012

Saturday, February 4th, 2012

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$DIA - Swing Trading

Rally to NEW HIGHS!

A great week for both Swing Traders and Day Traders as the market rallied to NEW HIGHS this week.

After a GAP DOWN and rally on Monday the indices put in a solid up move and finished the week off with a nice GAP UP Friday.

As expected the strongest sector ETF's turned in a great week.

Real Estate ($IYR), Financials ($IYF), Homebuilders ($XHB), Retail ($RTH) and the Technology sectors ($SMH $XLK) all moved up nicely.

$XHB - Home Builders ETF

The Semiconductor stocks (which we mentioned last week) were in play this week with $CREE, $VECO, $ATMI, $MRVL, $NVLS and $LRCX making some nice moves.

$CREE

$NVDA also has a good looking chart as it held its 50 day SMA and made a move higher on Thursday.

The Steel stocks we mentioned were a bit mixed with $X and $NUE moving higher while $AKS turned in a poor week.

The Casino stocks $LVS $MGM continued their super strong up moves.

$MGM - Swing Trading

There were plenty (way to many to list) of great looking chart patterns to trade this week!

Actually there we so many trade set ups that there is no possible way for us to trade them all. It seemed that everything was rallying this week!

This is the kind of week that rewards you in a big way when you take action and trade exactly what the market is telling you.

This type of rally and follow through is what traders dream about and look forward to each and every day.

This brings us to our next very important observation.

The market is back in the spotlight!

The talking heads on TV will surely hype this market up and eyes will turn back on to the market in a big way.

Everyone will start looking and talking about what the stock market is doing and how great everything is.

Although it is great that the market is doing well…Don't get caught up in the hype!

As a trader you need to stay focused!

I have seen traders change nearly their entire methodology when the market goes to one extreme or the other like it has this week.

I have seen scalpers suddenly become "trend" traders. I have seen short term swing traders ignore exit signals and essentially turn themselves into position traders.

DO NOT LET THIS HAPPEN TO YOU!

Changing your strategy may work for a short time but unless you have a proven system for trading a different way then this type of change can backfire in a BIG WAY!

Stick to your trading plan just like you have been doing day in and day out.

"Let it Ride" is a term that gamblers use…not traders!

Keep your focus and as always have a plan for whatever happens next in the market.

I hope this week was good to you!

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

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