Archive for the ‘Stock Market Update’ Category

Swing Trading Week in Review – March 12, 2010

Friday, March 12th, 2010

What a GREAT week for swing traders!

The RALLY continues as the NASDAQ, S&P 500 and several sectors race ahead to NEW HIGHS for the year!

If you listen to some of the talking heads on T.V. you hear that the trading volume for this last up move was very LOW so they remain weary of the the upside potential in the weeks to come.

Now although the "low trading volume" in the broad market MAY be a concern moving forward some of the individual stocks showing great price action and volume patterns for us swing traders!

And despite the DOW's lackluster performance there were stocks all over the place making HUGE upside moves!

Apple (AAPL) closed for the week at its ALL TIME HIGH!

Research in Motion (RIMM) also had a great week, and after breaking through the $72 level it rallied to the upside and closed UP by almost 10% this week!

RIMM

PCAR and LULU we also rock stars this week!

Subscribers to our Swing Trading Newsletters were alerted to numerous BUY set ups this week and a bunch turned out very nicely (if we do say so ourselves)!

CAL, WYNN, RIMM, and WYN all offered great swing trade opportunities!

CAL Swing Trade

One sector that really took off was the Financial Sector.

Take a look at XLF, IYF, FAS and well as some of the individual names like GS, C, and MET.

The banking sector finished UP 2.5% this week, outpacing the the S&P by more than 2 to 1.

The RETAIL (RTH) and REAL ESTATE ( IYR) sectors also continued their impressive rally with both sectors closing at their highest point of the year as well.

SPG, KIM, O and DRE continued their runs after showing great chart patterns for us last Friday.

Oil (OIH), Energy (XLE) and the semiconductors (SMH) all basically sat this last rally out.

So will these sectors play catch up or will they sell off when the market finally takes a break and pulls back a bit?

Only time will tell but for now we will continue to focus on the sectors and stocks that are showing tremendous relative strength.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

 

 

 

 

 

Swing Trading Week in Review – March 5, 2010

Friday, March 5th, 2010

And UP we go again!

Last week we said we were hopeful that the market would give us a clear direction and this week it did exactly that!

Last Thursday's price action had us looking to the LONG side and this week started off on Monday with a nice UP day letting us know we were on the right side of the market.

The market stalled a little mid week but by Thursday the buyers stepped in again and pushed the market higher right until the close on Friday!

The rally was wide spread with most sectors having nice gains this week.

Retail (RTH), Real Estate (IYR), and the Steel (SLX) sectors continued their strong runs.

Several stocks in these sectors had GREAT price and volume patterns that lead to some very nice swing trade set ups!

X, AKS, KIM, O, TIF, and JCG all are good examples of these set ups.

The Financials (XLF) and the Homebuilders (XHB) also rallied nicely allowing us to take some profits in these sectors by weeks end.

So how do we look going into next week?

After such a nice strong run up this week we see some stocks that are approaching short term overbought levels as well coming up to overhead resistance areas.

As Swing Traders its our job to identify the clues that the market gives us and to put all the pieces of the puzzle together to make a decision.

We the fast run up in these stocks, combined with short term overbought conditions AND coming into OBVIOUS overhead resistance it would be smart to tighten up your stops at this point to protect your open profits.

Some of our more recent positions are just starting to move into positive territory but the positions we opened at the end of last week we will be quick to exit at the first sign of weakness.

Do NOT chase the market up!

If we continue to rally sit on the sidelines and wait for the market to either pullback a bit or at least consolidate near the highs.

Be patient and wait for the low risk/ high reward opportunities…you will be glad you did!

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

 

 

 

Swing Trading Week in Review – February 26, 2010

Friday, February 26th, 2010

A pullback in market this week but what an interesting pullback it was!

The markets opened this week with a low volume lackluster Monday.

Tuesday the market popped out of the gate but quickly rolled over confirming the retrace was underway.

As we noted last week we entered into several new SHORT positions by the close on Friday.

These SHORT positions (AMSC comes to mind) sold off nicely with the market and we booked profits on most of these trades.

Wednesday price "stalled" on low trading volume again creating an "inside day".

Then on Thursday things got a little interesting…

The market gapped down BIG TIME on Thursday but buyers stepped in and the market rallied strong and closed near the high of the day on BIG VOLUME.

Then the week finished off with a low range, choppy day on Friday.

A few interesting things to note here.

During this most recent pullback we saw the buyers step into the market when prices retraced "far enough" and drove prices right back up.

There was only one day, Tuesday, when the market closed BELOW the swing high of 10314.84 that was put in on February 2nd.

We told you last week that until the week shows us which way its going we will continue to play both sides of the market.

Thursday's price action had us looking to the LONG side and we were able to find several strong stocks with chart patterns that were just too good to pass up!

One sector really shined that really shined this week?

RETAIL!

Yes retail…the RTH…broke its DOWN TREND CHANNEL last week and after a mere one day pullback on Tuesday it rallied nicely right into Friday.

RTH - Retail Sector ETF

TIF, M, HD and ANN all had nice UP moves this week.

On the other end of the spectrum is the SOLAR sector.

The SOLAR ETF, symbol TAN, continued its downward spiral finishing just off the low of year.

TAN - SOLAR ETF

So once again we find ourselves at a crossroads.

UP or DOWN?

LONG or SHORT?

Want our opinion?

We say….WHO CARES!

Have a great trading plan in place and be prepared for whichever way the market goes from here.

If you are getting whipsawed in this current environment then reduce your trading size or even sit on the sidelines until YOU see the trading set ups that make the most sense to YOU and your trading style!

Hopefully next week we can get some follow through one way or the other.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

 

 

 

 


Swing Trading Week in Review – February 19, 2010

Friday, February 19th, 2010

What a difference a week makes!

The market caught traders off guard this week as it continued higher breaking the most recent swing high at 10314.84 that was set on February 2nd.

In our last "Week in Review" we advised that although we had a SHORT bias we were still taking LONG trades in stocks with strong chart patterns.

And as Tuesday rolled around and the markets gapped higher we were glad we were on the LONG side of the market (even if only a few positions).

Most of the SHORT set ups never materialized so that kept us out of any new SHORT positions while the market continued to move up for the entire week!

As the markets closed this week it looks like we are due for a little pull back after this "slingshot" type rally we have had from the lows on last reversal Friday…February 5th.

We entered into several new SHORT swing trades on FRIDAY based on the price action, volume patterns and chart patterns that revealed themselves by the end of the day.

Its hard to enter into any new LONG positions since the market has come so far, so fast this week.

So what do we do next week?

We follow our plan.

We look for WEAK stocks with LOW RISK/HIGH REWARD charts patterns to SHORT and LOW RISK/HIGH REWARD chart patterns in STRONG stocks to get LONG.

With the market acting the way it is we will continue to dabble a bit on both sides of the market.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

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