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Swing Trading Update 05.31.19

Monday, June 3rd, 2019

Here is your Swing Trading update for the trading week ending 05.31.19.

After the holiday we saw a nice continuation to the DOWNSIDE in the market this week.

With lots of people expecting some sort of bounce from an OVERSOLD position the charts always tell the true story…if you know how to read them.

S&P 500 ($SPY)

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The S&P got rocked again this week (along with just about everything else.

Take a look at the chart. After pushing lower mid-week last week we saw 2 STALLbars near the LOW END of the trading range. When the market opened up on TUESDAY we saw the continued push LOWER on VOLUME, breaking down from the 2 STALL bars.

DJIA ($DIA)

Swing Trading Strategies

More of the same from the DJIA. Since the end of APRIL we are down 1800 points or so. Not good for the LONG SIDE especially since we are now under the 200-day MA.

GOLD ($GLD)

Swing Trading GOLD ETF's

The sector to watch this week was GOLD. Considering the overall market conditions, the setup after the double bottom and pullback after 3 days above the 50-day MA setup a nice chance to get LONG (at 2 spots).

SUMMARY

With ALL THREE INDICES (S&P, DJIA, NAZ) now trading below their 200-day MA's I would say that the writing on the wall is clear.

The failure to push to NEW HIGHS in early MAY was quickly followed by HEAVY SELLING which broke the UPTREND.

After a small bounce and stall we saw continuation to the downside this week.

And while there are still some strong stocks in the market we will wait to see if all of this selling pressure catches up to them as well.

I wouldn't chase stocks/ETF's down at this point but the next STALL or PULLBACKshould tells us how the story continues.

Until next week…GOOD TRADING TO YOU!

Tags: ETF Swing Trading, Swing Trading, Swing Trading ETF's, Swing Trading Price and Volume
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Swing Trading Week in Review – November 16, 2012

Sunday, November 18th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

The SELL OFF continues!

The markets opened up on Monday with traders anticipating the selling was (hopefully) coming to end.

Mondays lack of volatility was quickly followed by a bearish engulfing reversal bar on Tuesday.

The sellers then continued to bring the market lower to end yet another down week in this most recent downtrend.

This move brings the major indices down to a severely oversold level so a "bounce" next week is a probable.

Looking across the list of sector ETF's we see now that every major sector is trading below the 50 day SMA.

This includes the ultra strong Homebuilders ETF ($XHB) which finally broke down this week.

So with the market turning extremely bearish and the chance of a "bounce" this week what is trader to do?

Well it really depends on your trading business plan.

Does your business plan keep you out of LONG trades in a BEARISH market?

Or does your plan let you trade both LONG and SHORT regardless of the trend?

Your plan should be based around your individual trading beliefs and personality so make sure you take the time to lay out your plan.

With that being said we need to decide which action (if any) we will take if we do see the market "bounce" next week.

If the market does indeed bounce we anticipate being out of most if not all of our STS trades.

We would not look to get LONG but merely let the market play out a reevaluate once the retrace was in effect.

We also would not look to add any more SHORTS at this point even if the market continued lower out of the gate on Monday.

Chasing the market down at this point has low probability of success.

We will continue to be in SHORT mode until the market gives of signs of change.

There is a short list of stocks ($K, $V, $CREE and $FB looks interesting!) that are holding up during this down trend.

As always we will have these on our watch list to see if the strength continues.

Follow your plan and stay on the right side of the market.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Tags: ETF Swing Trading, SHORT SWING TRADING, Swing Trading, Swing Trading Blog, Swing Trading Strategies
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Swing Trading Week in Review – November 2, 2012

Sunday, November 4th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

**Our thoughts and prayers go out to the victims of Hurricane Sandy**

After a historic decision to close the US Stock Markets both Monday and Tuesday we opened up on Wednesday with a bit of uncertainty.

Low volume was the theme even as the market popped a little on Thursday.

Friday brought out the sellers again and starts what appears to be the next leg down in this recent down trend.

If you at the charts you can see that volume increased and the bearish engulfing bars created on the three major indices are down right bearish.

The one bright spot this week?

The Homebuilders ($XHB) actually traded to a NEW HIGH despite the overall bearish conditions.

That is about as good as it gets since almost every other sector sold off with the market.

A few weeks back we mentioned that the Gold and Silver sector ETF's were losing steam.

Friday both sectors got hammered!

The technology sector and the tech heavy NASDAQ have been the worst performers with no end in sight.

The Energy and Oil sectors look like they are heading lower.

The chart of the Financial ETFs look interesting.

Will this lower high lead to a head and shoulders pattern on the charts?

Time will tell but learning to spot patterns as they form is a key to trading price action.

Next week should be a big week in the market and you should expect some volatility.

Have a plan in place and trade it accordingly.

Keep the victims of Hurricane Sandy in your thoughts and prayers and as always…Good Trading to YOU!

Tags: ETF Swing Trading, Swing Trading Blog, Swing Trading Price Action, Swing Trading Strategies, Swing Trading Volume
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Swing Trading Week in Review – August 31, 2012

Monday, September 3rd, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading Boot Camp

The market move lower the first four days of trading this week.

The pullback comes after bumping into some overhead resistance at the yearly highs that were put in a few months back.

Fridays price action and volume confirmed that all three indices have ended this recent retrace and are once again attempting to head higher.

Individual stocks were mixed but there were a few stand out sectors for both day and swing traders.

The Retail sector ETF ($RTH) bucked the trend and continued to move higher all week…

The Hombuilders ($XHB) traded sideways as the market pulled back this week.

The breakout on Friday is one to watch..

Last week we also mentioned that the Silver and Gold ETF"s ($SLV $GDX $GLD) were making some nice moves to the UPSIDE.

After pulling back to start the week both sectors exploded higher on Friday…

One sector that took a big hit this week was the Steel sector ($SLX)….

The price action here indicates that the sellers are here in a big way even though the overall market is holding up.

This is a good example of relative weakness and something to watch especially if the market transitions from bull to bear in the near future.

Keep your eyes peeled as we open for trading on Tuesday (due to the holiday on Monday) and looks for signs on continuation of Fridays move.

Get your Watch List ready and as always be prepared for whatever the market throws at you next week.

Until then…Good Trading to YOU!

Tags: Sector ETF's, Swing Trading Blog, Swing Trading Chart Patterns, Swing Trading Price Action, Swing Trading Strategies
Posted in ETF Swing Trading, Sector ETF's, Swing Trading Blog, Swing Trading Strategies, Trading Price Action and Volume | No Comments »