Posts Tagged ‘Swing Trading’

Swing Trading Blog – Week in Review – January 6, 2013

Sunday, January 6th, 2013

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

Well 2013 started with a BANG now didn't it?

Swing Trading Strategies and Tactics

This holiday shortened week started out with a rally on BIG VOLUME on Monday.

The price action we saw created a bullish engulfing bar on the charts. This type of chart pattern was a sign for the shorts to cover as the longs pilled in!

Once the news of the fiscal cliff deal came out the marked GAPPED UP in a big way on Wednesday after being closed Tuesday.

This GAP UP left a lot of traders scratching there heads on where they could enter into the move.

As a SHORT TERM trader the day to get long was on Monday…not on Wednesday.

The move that happened Wednesday classifies as a continuation move for us.

We were looking to SELL our SHORT TERM trades towards the end of the week…not enter into new positions.

As you look through the charts you will see nearly the same chart pattern on each one of them.

The sector ETF's look the same although some were better candidates then others.

The Financials ($XLF $IYF) and Homebuilders ($XHB) had some nice setups.

The Steel ETF ($SLX) also had a nice pattern to trade if you caught it in time.

As far as individual stocks go there are too many to list. Lets just say that there were tons of good looking charts out there to trade. ($GOOG, $NSC, $GS, $MA, $V, etc)

Swing Trading Strategies and Tactics

Next week will be the true test to see how real this rally is.

Keep you eyes on stocks that start to pullback to see how the hold up in relation to the overall market.

If the rally continues there will be plenty of time for more good trades.

There is no need to chase the market up.

As always have a plan and prepare for whatever the market throws your way.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – November 16, 2012

Sunday, November 18th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The SELL OFF continues!

The markets opened up on Monday with traders anticipating the selling was (hopefully) coming to end.

Mondays lack of volatility was quickly followed by a bearish engulfing reversal bar on Tuesday.

The sellers then continued to bring the market lower to end yet another down week in this most recent downtrend.

This move brings the major indices down to a severely oversold level so a "bounce" next week is a probable.

Looking across the list of sector ETF's we see now that every major sector is trading below the 50 day SMA.

This includes the ultra strong Homebuilders ETF ($XHB) which finally broke down this week.

$XHB - Swing Trading ETF

So with the market turning extremely bearish and the chance of a "bounce" this week what is trader to do?

Well it really depends on your trading business plan.

Does your business plan keep you out of LONG trades in a BEARISH market?

Or does your plan let you trade both LONG and SHORT regardless of the trend?

Your plan should be based around your individual trading beliefs and personality so make sure you take the time to lay out your plan.

With that being said we need to decide which action (if any) we will take if we do see the market "bounce" next week.

If the market does indeed bounce we anticipate being out of most if not all of our STS trades.

We would not look to get LONG but merely let the market play out a reevaluate once the retrace was in effect.

We also would not look to add any more SHORTS at this point even if the market continued lower out of the gate on Monday.

Chasing the market down at this point has low probability of success.

We will continue to be in SHORT mode until the market gives of signs of change.

There is a short list of stocks ($K, $V, $CREE and $FB looks interesting!) that are holding up during this down trend.

As always we will have these on our watch list to see if the strength continues.

Follow your plan and stay on the right side of the market.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – October 12, 2012

Sunday, October 14th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

After returning to the recent high last week swing traders watched as the Dow Jones Industrial Average sold off this week.

Right from the opening bell on Monday the sellers came out in a big way.

By weeks end the selling pressure had us looking at one of the worst weeks since the summer.

This did NOT happen without warning though.

Last week we pointed out the some of the recently strong sectors were showing signs of "losing steam".

The Tech sector had stalled causing the tech heavy NASDAQ to stall right along with it.

We said that we would need confirmation to validate a move higher or lower and that the NASADAQ could be a catalyst.

This week we watched the confirmation come almost from the get go on Monday.

The GAP DOWN had us looking to the SHORT SIDE by days end.

This was the price action clue that we were looking for.

The move lower on Tuesday on increased volume was all we needed to know that the next move lower was upon us.

Here is the chart of the QQQ

$QQQ - Swing Trading ETF

The transition from bullish to bearish that we saw this week brings the market back down near the 50 day EMA.

The DJIA and S&P and basically hugging the 50 day while the weaker NASDAQ has now traded below it.

This latest move has people wondering a bigger sell off isnt right around the corner.

There are some sectors still showing strength.

The Financials and Homebuilders are (as of now) holding up.

The Energy and Oil ($XLE $OIH) sectors are trading sideways despite the market pushing lower.

Look for a breakout (or breakdown)in these two sectors in the near future.

One weak sector we mentioned a few weeks ago was the Semiconductors ($SMH).

$SMH - Short Swing Trading

Notice the relative weakness prior to the sell off this week.

A good place to look for SHORTS wouldn't you say?

Gold and Silver ($GLD $SLV) are holding up BUT…

After last weeks down move the market and a few of these sectors are in short term oversold territory.

We could see the buyers step in here very soon to protect their long positions.

The SHORTS may also look to cover and take some profits.

All that being said expect a stall or even a bit of a bounce.

Now that we have seem some weakness in the market it is important to have a complete watch list.

Look through the charts and put together a list of stocks that are weaker than the market.

Put those with the best chart patterns on your SHORT watch list.

Look for stocks that are holding up well doing this recent down move.

Put those with the best patterns on your LONG list.

Once the market lets you know where it is headed next take the appropriate action.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – October 5, 2012

Sunday, October 7th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The rally continues (for the most part).

The market drifted higher this week pushing the DJIA back to high that we hit a few weeks back.

This move brings the DJIA into an area that has some traders looking for a double top pattern to take place.

In last weeks BLOG POST we noted the low volume that accompanied some of the moves we saw.

This week the volume did increase BUT it was not across the board.

We watched as both the DJIA and S&P rose while the technology heavy NASDAQ basically sat this move out.

The sector action was mixed.

The Gold and Silver ETF's ($GLD $GDX $SLV) continue to hover around their highs.

$GLD - Swing Trading ETF

Both Healhcare ($XLV) and Retail ($RTH) broke out to NEW HIGHS.

$XLV - Swing Trading ETF $RTH - Swing Trading ETF

The recently strong Financials ($XLF) and Homebuilders ($XHB) drifted higher as well.

The lagging sectors were Energy and Oil ($XLE $OIH $USO) and the Semiconductors ($SMH) and Tech ($XLK).

This "mixed bag" of results leads us to believe that the market may be losing some steam.

As we move into next week we will need to see confirmation to confirm that though.

If we see the NASDAQ jump on board that could push the overall market higher in a hurry.

If however we see more sectors breaking down or failing to participate then we will start looking to the SHORT side more and more.

As always we will have plan for whatever the market decides to do from here and act accordingly.

We hope you will do the same.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

 

 

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