Posts Tagged ‘ETF Swing Trading’

Swing Trading Week in Review – January 7, 2011

Sunday, January 9th, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

The new year is HERE!

SPY - ETF Swing Trading

On a positive note the market continued to rally to NEW HIGHS this week.

On a different note we are starting to see some signs that concern us moving into next week.

One of the biggest things we have noticed this past week is that the SELLERS are becoming much more aggressive at these levels.

This has been evident in many of of the individual stocks that we monitor each and every day.

Take a look at some stocks like ATMI, LRCX, and NVLS in the Semiconductor sector.

LRCX

The Retail stocks have also taken a hit this week.

Look at ANN, M, TIF and TGT (to name a few).

ANN

We also take notice of the fact that some of the recently strong sector ETF's have shown a bit of weakness as the overall market moved higher this week.

As expected the Retail ETF's (RTH) are fist on this list.

Gold (GLD) and the Gold Miners (GDX) also got whacked this week.

GDX

With the noticeable selling coming into some of the Semiconductor stocks we are anxious to see watch next week has in store for this sector ETF (SMH).

Some of the other sector ETF's are holding up very well and are worth watching next week.

The FInancials (XLF), Hombuilders (XHB), Broker/Dealers (IAI), Agriculture (DBA) and Energy (XLE) and Oil (OIH) are on this list.

XHB

The number of sectors on this list is evidence of the overall strength of this market BUT there are signs that are a bit concerning for us.

Next week should be a good indication of where we go from here.

Sooner of later a PULLBACK will be upon us.

With that in mind make sure you have a plan in place so you can benefit (in one way or another) when the PULLBACK comes.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

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P.s – You can sign up for our FREE Weekly Swing Trading Newsletter by submitting your name and email address HERE!

Swing Trading Week in Review – December 31, 2010

Sunday, January 2nd, 2011

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

As 2010 comes to a close the markets end the year just off their 52 week high.

The major indices have been "drifting" upwards for the last few weeks.

This week we saw more of the same as the DJIA, S&P, and Nasdaq all basically traded sideways just under the high for the year.

End of year trading usually brings some good, but often hard to comprehend, moves that can be a traders best friend or worst enemy.

None of the sector ETF's had an "explosive" move this week and only a few stocks on our list are worth mentioning.

There also were NOT a lot of NEW trade set ups for us this week.

Most of the action we witnessed was simply "continuation" of a move that started day,s and in some cases, weeks ago.

December was a great month with the DJIA putting in a gain of nearly 5.5%.

That being we were simply in "hold" mode as we managed our positions as they SLOOOOW moved to the up side.

Several of our positions lasted much longer than our average trade time.

By being patient and following our rules we were able to take profits at much higher levels than if we had tried to outguess the market.

As we close out the year the market is still in SHORT TERM OVERBOUGHT territory.

With nearly every talking head in the media preaching about how great 2011 will be it wouldn't surprise us if a BIG, FAT PULLBACK was waiting right around the corner.

But like we always say…BE PREPARED FOR ANYTHING and simply take action when the market tells you to!

We hope you have a great year of trading in 2011 and until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

 

 

Swing Trading Week in Review – December 23, 2010

Sunday, December 26th, 2010

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

The SANTA CLAUS rally continues!

The holiday shortened week saw the market push higher although both VOLUME and VOLATILITY were less than impressive.

SPY

So what do we do from here?

No one knows for sue but a move on significant volume should give traders a clue.

As far as Sector ETF's go we are seeing the most of the strongest sectors continue to "drift" upwards.

Retail ($RTH), Energy ($XLE), Oil ($USO) and Oil Services ($OIH) all had a decent week.

Agriculture ($DBA) had a nice move this week as it moved to a NEW YEARLY HIGH.

DBA

Despite the "stall" on Thursday the Financials ($XLF), Broker/Dealers ($IAI) and the Homebuilders ($XHB) a nice move as well.

XLF

With a few exceptions most of the individual stocks on our Watch List followed the markets lead.

The lack of VOLUME lead to a lot of sideways trading this week.

Target ($TGT) and Carnival Cruise Lines ($CCL) were two stocks that provided us with nice LONG trade setups AND followed through nicely to close the week.

TGT CCL

As this nice move in the market continues the lack of VOLUME and VOLATILITY that we have mentioned in this post is a sign of caution as we move into next week.

The momentum has slowed a bit but that doesn't mean that it cant continue next week.

The only thing we can do as traders is to prepare ourselves for whatever the market decides to do and take the appropriate action.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – December 10, 2010

Sunday, December 12th, 2010

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

The market drifted a bit higher this week as both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both made NEW HIGHS for the year.

The DJIA basically traded sideways all week but the action in some stocks and ETF's more than made up for it.

The action in the sector ETF's continues as the "weak" Financials ($IYF $XLF), Broker/Dealers ($IAI), and Hombuilders ($XHB) continued to rise.

IYF

We mentioned these ETF's several weeks back when they broke through their overhead resistance levels.

The pullback that followed was a bit extreme as it took these ETF's all the way back to their support levels.

The "bounce" we have seen in these sectors over the past 2 weeks has been impressive.

IAI XHB

Some of the stocks on our list continued to move higher this week.

One of the hardest things to do as a trader is to let your winning trades ride.

Having a different strategy for different phases of the market may be something to consider.

When the market is in a "choppy" phase and lacks direction we use our STS (Short Term Swing) methodology.

In a "break out' trending type market we switch to a more traditional trend trading style in an attempt to capture bigger profits.

Several of these stocks are moving up nicely and may continue to do so.

$ATMI, $LULU, $ADSK, $JAZZ, $BOBE and $INFA are few names on this list.

BOBE

We saw a lot of stocks setting up towards the end of last week.

Friday we saw signs of these stocks making their next move higher.

Our newsletter subscribers were actually alerted to numerous new trades that triggered on Friday.

The market continues to show signs of strength and if that continues next week hopefully these trades will turn into winners.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!!!

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