Posts Tagged ‘DBA’

Swing Trading Week in Review – October 8, 2010

Sunday, October 10th, 2010

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

Finally!

This week the UP move continues as we saw the major indices break out of last weeks narrow range.

SPY

The week started out on a negative as the market pulled back a bit but Tuesday we saw things quickly change.

Tuesday we saw the markets GAP UP and rally right to the close.

The rest of the week the strength continued and the markets closed higher after yet another UP leg in a move that started in September.

Overall the individual sectors are also acting very well although there are still a few laggards out there.

The Agriculture ETF's (DBA and MOO) exploded to the upside on Friday!

DBA

After last weeks big sell off in this sector we were waiting to see how this sector would trade this week.

Some of the stronger names in this sector (CF, CAT, AGU) offered good setups for LONG trades.

Energy and Oil Services continued upward as did the Semiconductors and Airlines.

Some of the sectors however did not participate (yet) much in the move this week.

Financials and the Homebuilders had a decent week but the Retail, Real Estate and Technology sectors traded sideways after gapping up with the market on Tuesday.

Although the sectors were a "mixed bag" we saw some great setups in some individual stocks this week.

AAPL and AMZN both had nice setups after their recent pullbacks although AAPL followed through a bit better this week.

DOW, MMR, ELN, AVP, CCJ and EL all had nice setups at some point during the week.

DOW

These were all text book type trades that should have been obvious candidates once the market spoke loud and clear on Tuesday.

As we go forward look for signs of strength in some of the stronger stocks and ETF's that have yet to take part in the market's recent move.

Be prepared for anything but with the recent strength in the market it is hard to make a case for the SHORT side of the market (unless of course you are a counter trend trader).

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

 

Swing Trading Week in Review – October 1, 2010

Sunday, October 3rd, 2010

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

Well after the long awaited BREAKOUT we saw last week the market followed up with…a nice long week of NOTHING!

Coming into this week there was a lot of optimism based on the recent bullish action we have seen in the overall market.

Traders (including us) were expecting at least a little follow through this week but instead were met with yet another frustrating week of consolidating price action.

SPY

Most of the stocks and ETF's did the exact same thing as the overall market.

A few were up slightly as the week came to an end but nothing to write home about.

There were a few exceptions as we saw the Energy and Oil Services ETF's have nice continuation moves this week.

In last weeks BLOG post we showed you our entry into XLE and the pullback that followed.

This week XLE continued its UP move despite the "stall" in the overall market.

XLE

As you would expect the Oil Services ETF (OIH) had a strong week.

RIG and DO were two stocks in this sector the gave us LONG trade signals this week.

RIG

GOLD and the GOLD MINERS (GDX) came back to life this week as well and SILVER (SLV) is acting just as bullish.

With last weeks news in the AIRLINE sector we saw the Airline ETF (FAA) trade up to a NEW HIGH for the YEAR.

Technology, Retail, Real Estate, Financial and the Homebuilders all had a lackluster week.

One sector to watch moving forward is going to be Agriculture.

This week we saw big time selling come into some of the stocks in this recently strong sector.

MON, MOS, CF and ADM all sold off this week despite the market holding up above its BREAKOUT level.

MON

The Agriculture ETF's (DBA and MOO) have now put in their first significant pullback after last months nice run up.

This pullback may be a good time to look to buy some of the stronger names in this sector but the caution light is now flashing as we move forward.

MOO

This type of price and volume action is not yet a transition from a "bullish" to "bearish" bias for this sector but it is something to watch for in days/weeks to come.

The overall market is still very strong as almost every major sector ETF is trading above its 50 day SMA.

Last weeks "consolidation" is telling us that the buyers and sellers are playing a big game of tug-of-war at this level.

Obviously anything is possible next week.

A continuation move to the UP side wouldn't surprise us but neither would a retrace back near the 50 day SMA.

The key (as always) is to be prepared with a plan of action for either outcome.

What stocks and/or ETF's will you look to buy if the UP move continues?

What will you do if the market sells off on Monday indicating that the market is pulling back?

Will you SHORT anything or simply sit on the sidelines and wait?

You know what they say..."failing to plan is planning to fail".

Have your plan is place and execute when the time is right!

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

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