Archive for the ‘Swing Trading’ Category

Swing Trading Week in Review – June 22, 2012

Sunday, June 24th, 2012

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DIA - Swing Trading Strategies Blog

The markets continued to drift upwards (on low volume) to start out the week bringing the DJIA just above its 50 day SMA.

Wednesday was a different story as the news the market was waiting for finally came out.

The sellers showed up in a big way in the afternoon and followed up on Thursday with a day full of selling pressure.

Friday we watched as the market traded sideways creating a low volume "inside day".

Last week we told you that "One side will win the "tug of war" and you will miss the moves if you aren't ready."

Once the news came out you had to expect a dramatic move one way or the another.

Being prepared for anything (as we say over and over and over) is a key to becoming a successful trader.

If you had a SHORT list prepared then I am sure your triggers were hit either late Wednesday or sometime on Thursday.

With plenty of weak stocks out there I am sure you had plenty of options.

The Energy, Oil, and Oil Services sectors have been extremely weak so that was a natural choice.

$SLB $HES and $HAL had great chart patterns to trade…

SLB - SHORT Swing Trading Strategies

Some of the Retail stocks ($M $BBBY $RL ) also got smacked around despite the strength the overall sector is showing.

M - Short Swing Trading Strategies

Despite all the doom and gloom talk there are actually (for now) still stocks showing a tremendous amount of strength.

The sectors vary but take a look at the charts for $VZ $CRUS $LLY $ASH $V $MMR and $WFM.

So what is trader to do from here?

Go LONG the strong stocks? Or go SHORT the weak stocks?

As always it depends on your personal strategy but when the overall market is hoovering near its 50 day SMA we tend to play both sides of the market.

For our STS trades we will SHORT the weakest of the weak and BUY the strongest of the strong and leave everything else alone.

We are looking for SHORT TERM moves here…we are NOT position traders.

Often times one side will STOP US OUT when the market does make a definitive move but that is a good thing for us.

We then have more conviction and can look for more trades that are now going in the direction of the market.

Don't be afraid to make trades and to get stooped out….it's a big part of trading and it happens often.

Next week the market should give us additional clues to it's "true" direction so, as always, be prepared for anything (heard that before?).

Listen to the market and act accordingly.

Make your entries, set and honor your stops, take your profits. Rinse and repeat.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – June 8, 2012

Sunday, June 10th, 2012

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$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

Swing Traders watched as the market puts in it's best week of the year this week.

After nothing but doom and gloom and talks of the next wave of the recession looming the market took off like a rocket this week.

But not everything is peaches and cream in stock market land just yet.

For one thing the volume on the recent UP move has been lackluster at best.

You can't really argue that it's summer time since the SELLING VOLUME we saw just 2 weeks ago spoke loud and clear.

Secondly all three indicies and almost every sector ETF are still trading below their 50 day SMA's.

The markets haven't traded under their 50 day SMA's for this long since the third quarter of last year.

And finally we still have plenty of overhead resistance to break through before I would start looking for the bull to return for any length of time.

Lets be honest…it still a bearish short term market (for now).

So what is your swing trading strategy in a market like this?

Our strategy remains the same. We SHORT (or use inverse ETF's) we the market is weak and go LONG when the market is strong.

At times of transition in the market we start to see less follow and tend to get stopped out a bit more.

As SHORT TERM TRADERS these are the clues that keep us on the right side of the market.

If the market does start to turn to the upside we will notice and hopefully be able to profit from it.

Have a trading plan in place so whatever the market decides to do from here you will be ready.

Until next week…Good Trading to You!

Swing Trading Week in Review – February 17, 2012

Sunday, February 19th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading Boot Camp

DIA - Swing Trading

Creeping Higher!

The market rallied to new highs again this week but it was a little slow in the making.

Monday traders watched as the market GAPPED UP and a decent GAP DOWN last Friday.

Tuesday we watched as the market sold off all day only to put in a rip to the close the last 30 minutes of the day.

Wednesdays price action put a lot of fear into the market and had most traders talking about a sell off.

The market spoke loud and clear on Thursday though as it ripped right out of the gate and closed near the high and above the high of Wednesdays trading.

This is why we always form our own opinions by listing to what the market is telling us. We never try to outguess the market.

Did Wednesdays price action and volume tell us anything?

Of course it did.

But we executed our trading plan accordingly and let out LONG trades play out despite all the talk of the "sell off" that was now upon us.

We did NOT change our plan and exit our positions based on what we thought "might" happen.

We were rewarded nicely for being so disciplined.

If you "hit the bid" on Wednesday you might find yourself now chasing stocks up or waiting for the next move to happen.

Stocks and obviously very bullish right now but there will be a retrace in the market sooner or later.

As we look forward trading on Tuesday there are plenty of stocks setting up for potential trades.

A few on our Watch List?

$WFC - Swing Trading Blog

$M $CBRL $WFC $DOW $RIG $HAR to name a few.

Until next week…Good Trading to You!

Swing Trading Week in Review – January 27, 2012

Sunday, January 29th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading Boot Camp

DIA - Swing Trading

Right back to where we started!

All looks good for the LONG side of the market although we ended up finishing the week pretty much where we started.

The major indices did pop up again on Wednesday (on good volume) but quickly reversed on Thursday and drifted a bit lower on Friday.

The sector action was a mixed with some of the stronger sectors taking a breather and some sectors showing some increased relative strength.

The Real Estate sector out performed the market by rallying to new highs this week.

IYR - Real Estate ETF

The REIT ETF ($RWR) also followed suit…

RWR - REIT ETF

The Silver and Gold ETF's ($SLV $GLD $GDX) also sprang to life this week…

SLV - Silver ETF GLD - Gold Shares ETF

The Steel and Airline sectors ($SLX $FAA) are also looking good with several stocks in each sector making nice moves this week.

Keep your eye on $AKS $NUE $X $STLD!

The Semiconductors took a little break this week but keep don't forget about names like $MRVL $CREE $KLAC $NVLS $LRCX next week if the market stays strong.

Even with the market stalling this week some of the stocks we watch seem to have gone to far to fast.

With Silver and Gold showing some bullish price action make sure to keep a close eye on the overall market conditions when evaluating your trade set ups.

Have a plan in place and be prepared for anything!

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

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