Posts Tagged ‘Swing Trading’

Swing Trading Update – 2.5.16

Sunday, February 7th, 2016

Swing Trading Update For Market Close – February 5th, 2016

How was the trading in the market this week?

Well to sum it up…CHOPPY!

After a Monday/Tuesday selloff we saw buyers step back in a push the market higher both Wednesday and Thursday.

Friday we saw the market once again push lower bringing a nice signal to the S&P and the Dow.

The price action on Friday basically broke out of the sideways trading channel created on the first 4 days of the week.

Swing Trading DJIA

The sector ETF's were a mixed bag.

$XLK got smacked around again while $XLE and $OIH had a nice bounce from their lows.

The financials $XLF, Real Estate $IYR and the Homebuilders $XHB are hanging out or heading towards their recent lows.

Swing Trading ETF - $XLF

The other notable sectors of course are the Gold and Silver ETF's.

We mentioned to watch these last week week and $GDX $GOLD and $SLV all had big moves to the upside this week. 

Swing Trading ETF - $GDX

So what should we expect going into next week?

Well the markets have signaled their next move to the downside but…will we see follow through?

Only time will tell.

One the longer term charts we are trading down to areas of support (at least in the past) so we will see if these levels hold.

For we are looking to SHORT the weakest stocks and ETf's and buy strong stocks and ETF's that arent correlated to the overall market.

Look for follow through to the downside but be prepared for whatever the market decides to do from here.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Update – The Retrace – 1.29.16

Sunday, January 31st, 2016

Well for Swing Traders this was the week of the "retrace". Monday we saw the markets drift lower all day but the volume didnt really kick in. Swing Trading Strategies - 1.29.16

Tuesday and Wednesday gave traders a big clue as we watched the market basically fight to find a direction.

On Tuesday the clue was an "up" day on increased volume compared to Mondays "down" day on light volume.

Wednesday we had an "outside" day on even bigger volume with a close on the low end of the trading range for the day.

Thursdays light volume "inside" day let you know that the market was taking a "pause" and would more than likely (nothing is for certain) continue is retrace to the upside soon.

Friday we watched as the market did just that. The $SPY had some nice volume to the upside while the $DIAs volume lagged a bit.

Both charts however showed a good combination of price and volume to at least let you know what side of the market (the long side) was the right side to be on.

As we look through the charts of the sector ETFs we see a few good trade setups assuming of course that you are a counter trend trader.

A long trade in $XLE set up nicely as it did in $IYF and even $XLK for those brave traders.

A note on the GOLD ETF's here…

$GOLD ripped to the highs this week with $GDX and $NUGT looking better as well. $ABX is shaping up and maybe taking a look at Silver $SLX would be wise.

As we look forward to trading tomorrow just remember that we are trading under the 50 day SMA AND that we are in a down channel.

With that being said there is a lot of white space on the charts to the upside if the buyers want to push us back a little closer that 50 day "trendline".

If you are a short term swing trader then look to adjust your risk/reward on these counter trend trades so that the math still works for you.

I personally dont think the we are anywhere near done on the short side but time will tell. In the meantime we will continue listen to what the market tells us and trade appropriately.

We hope you do the same. Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Blog – Week in Review – January 6, 2013

Sunday, January 6th, 2013

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

Well 2013 started with a BANG now didn't it?

Swing Trading Strategies and Tactics

This holiday shortened week started out with a rally on BIG VOLUME on Monday.

The price action we saw created a bullish engulfing bar on the charts. This type of chart pattern was a sign for the shorts to cover as the longs pilled in!

Once the news of the fiscal cliff deal came out the marked GAPPED UP in a big way on Wednesday after being closed Tuesday.

This GAP UP left a lot of traders scratching there heads on where they could enter into the move.

As a SHORT TERM trader the day to get long was on Monday…not on Wednesday.

The move that happened Wednesday classifies as a continuation move for us.

We were looking to SELL our SHORT TERM trades towards the end of the week…not enter into new positions.

As you look through the charts you will see nearly the same chart pattern on each one of them.

The sector ETF's look the same although some were better candidates then others.

The Financials ($XLF $IYF) and Homebuilders ($XHB) had some nice setups.

The Steel ETF ($SLX) also had a nice pattern to trade if you caught it in time.

As far as individual stocks go there are too many to list. Lets just say that there were tons of good looking charts out there to trade. ($GOOG, $NSC, $GS, $MA, $V, etc)

Swing Trading Strategies and Tactics

Next week will be the true test to see how real this rally is.

Keep you eyes on stocks that start to pullback to see how the hold up in relation to the overall market.

If the rally continues there will be plenty of time for more good trades.

There is no need to chase the market up.

As always have a plan and prepare for whatever the market throws your way.

Until next week…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – November 16, 2012

Sunday, November 18th, 2012

Swing Trading BLOG – Swing Trading BOOT CAMP

$DIA - Swing Trading ETF

The SELL OFF continues!

The markets opened up on Monday with traders anticipating the selling was (hopefully) coming to end.

Mondays lack of volatility was quickly followed by a bearish engulfing reversal bar on Tuesday.

The sellers then continued to bring the market lower to end yet another down week in this most recent downtrend.

This move brings the major indices down to a severely oversold level so a "bounce" next week is a probable.

Looking across the list of sector ETF's we see now that every major sector is trading below the 50 day SMA.

This includes the ultra strong Homebuilders ETF ($XHB) which finally broke down this week.

$XHB - Swing Trading ETF

So with the market turning extremely bearish and the chance of a "bounce" this week what is trader to do?

Well it really depends on your trading business plan.

Does your business plan keep you out of LONG trades in a BEARISH market?

Or does your plan let you trade both LONG and SHORT regardless of the trend?

Your plan should be based around your individual trading beliefs and personality so make sure you take the time to lay out your plan.

With that being said we need to decide which action (if any) we will take if we do see the market "bounce" next week.

If the market does indeed bounce we anticipate being out of most if not all of our STS trades.

We would not look to get LONG but merely let the market play out a reevaluate once the retrace was in effect.

We also would not look to add any more SHORTS at this point even if the market continued lower out of the gate on Monday.

Chasing the market down at this point has low probability of success.

We will continue to be in SHORT mode until the market gives of signs of change.

There is a short list of stocks ($K, $V, $CREE and $FB looks interesting!) that are holding up during this down trend.

As always we will have these on our watch list to see if the strength continues.

Follow your plan and stay on the right side of the market.

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

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