Posts Tagged ‘ANF’

Swing Trading Week in Review – April 9, 2010

Saturday, April 10th, 2010

After briefly touching 11,000, the DOW ended the week at 10,997…the highest close since September of 2008!

As the market continues to rally there have obviously been some great swing trading opportunities for you to capitalize on.

A few weeks ago in our Swing Blog and also in our Swing Trading Newsletter we noticed the increasing relative strength in the GAMING SECTOR.

This week stocks in this sector WERE ON FIRE!

Take a look at the charts for MGM, WYNN and BYD

MGM WYNN BYD

Sticking with our swing trading strategy of locating STRONG STOCKS in STRONG SECTORS these charts are great examples of identifying LOW RISK/HIGH REWARD swing trade setups.

Another sector that continues to rally is the RETAIL sector.

Here is the chart for RTH (retail ETF)…

RTH Swing Trading ETF

We have been trading stocks in this sector for weeks and notified our blog and newsletter readers that last weeks "pullback" could lead to great potential LONG setups in this sector.

Several retailers made nice moves this week including M, BBY, ANF, RL and HOG.

Financials (XLF) and Real Estate (IYR) are still strong with GOLD (GDX), SILVER (SLV) and ENERGY (XLE) showing signs of wanting to play "catch up".

So will the DOW finally break through 11,000 with conviction next week?

Only time will tell so as always…be prepared for ANYTHING!

Until next week…good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – January 22, 2010

Friday, January 22nd, 2010

The DOW fell over 4% (over 400 points) this week closing at 10172.98.

The S&P 500 and NASDAQ followed suit also selling off around 4% each as well.

After last weeks price action (see last post) we took notice of the potential down move in the market.

When the market opened Tuesday, after being closed for the holiday on Monday, the market rallied strong and turned in a positive day closing near the highs of the day.

Traders had to think that the market could possibly be making another attempt towards the recent highs.

Our job as traders or active investors is to look for clues that the market gives to make our trading decisions.

Our clue that Tuesdays market action was a possible "fake out" was once again price action AND volume.

Even though the market had a nice up move on Tuesday the volume was light.

The volume clue was not only evident in the overall market but in the sector ETF's and individual stocks as well.

Lets look at the charts we posted last week to see how they played out.

First we take at look at the XLF (Financials ETF).

XLF ETF

Tuesday's light volume reversal day as followed by a lighter volume day on Wednesday with price closing near the mid point of the day.

Price action AND volume then follow through to the DOWN side nicely on Thursday and Friday.

Here is the OIH (Oil Servies ETF) chart.

OIH

You can see how even though the sector had a nice up day on Tuesday the volume was light.

Wednesdays price action (down) on increasing volume confirmed that price was heading lower (even if only temporarily).

The selling accelerated on Thursday and Friday pushing price lower closing near the lows of the week.

And finally lets look at the SLX (Steel ETF) chart we posted last week.

SLX ETF

This one was a little tricky for a few reasons.

The Steel sector has been on fire recently so when Tuesday's price and volume action showed a possible run towards the recent highs we entered into a new LONG position.

By Wednesdays open we knew we were probably wrong on this trade but as always we stick to our trading plan and dont try to out guess the market.

Wednesdays gap down and lackluster price movement on low volume was quickly followed by increased volume and downward price movement as selling finally came into the sector Thursday and Friday.

Yes we were stopped out for a LOSS on this trade but it happens and will happen again.

Our SHORT positions more than made up for this one losing trade.

One, for example, that played out perfectly was our SHORT SWING TRADE in ANF.

ANF Short Swing Trade

ANF triggered a SHORT SWING TRADE for us last Friday (1/15/2010).

The sector (retail) has been weak and ANF was showing signs of obvious weakness as well.

Notice how ANF did not participate in the markets UP move on Tuesday as price "stalled" on lower volume.

Wednesday ANF quickly followed through by trading lower on increased volume and the rest of the week was more of the same.

At pivotal times in the market we frequently find ourselves having a few LONG positions (in stocks showing relative strength) and a few SHORT positions (in stocks showing relative weakness).

Once the market gives us a clear signal (like it did this week) we can take the appropriate action and get on the right side of the market.

Until next week…Good Trading to you!

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