Archive for the ‘Stock Market Update’ Category

Swing Trading Week in Review – April 9, 2010

Saturday, April 10th, 2010

After briefly touching 11,000, the DOW ended the week at 10,997…the highest close since September of 2008!

As the market continues to rally there have obviously been some great swing trading opportunities for you to capitalize on.

A few weeks ago in our Swing Blog and also in our Swing Trading Newsletter we noticed the increasing relative strength in the GAMING SECTOR.

This week stocks in this sector WERE ON FIRE!

Take a look at the charts for MGM, WYNN and BYD

MGM WYNN BYD

Sticking with our swing trading strategy of locating STRONG STOCKS in STRONG SECTORS these charts are great examples of identifying LOW RISK/HIGH REWARD swing trade setups.

Another sector that continues to rally is the RETAIL sector.

Here is the chart for RTH (retail ETF)…

RTH Swing Trading ETF

We have been trading stocks in this sector for weeks and notified our blog and newsletter readers that last weeks "pullback" could lead to great potential LONG setups in this sector.

Several retailers made nice moves this week including M, BBY, ANF, RL and HOG.

Financials (XLF) and Real Estate (IYR) are still strong with GOLD (GDX), SILVER (SLV) and ENERGY (XLE) showing signs of wanting to play "catch up".

So will the DOW finally break through 11,000 with conviction next week?

Only time will tell so as always…be prepared for ANYTHING!

Until next week…good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – April 1,2010

Friday, April 2nd, 2010

What a month March has been!

The DOW, S&P and NASDAQ all ended this holiday shortened week at the high for year.

DJIA

March has been a great month for Swing Traders if they were able to get on board this rally at some point during the month.

The markets basically traded sideways until the very end of the week when, on Thursday, the market popped up from the open and ended up rallying into to the close as well.

As far as individual sectors are concerned GOLD (GDX ETF), SILVER (SLV ETF), OIL (OIH ETF)and ENERGY (XLE ETF) all showed signs of life on Thursday after being some of the weakest sectors over the past few weeks.

A few of the strongest sectors, RETAIL (RTH ETF) and REAL ESTATE (IYR ETF), actually took a little break this week and pulled back a bit.

Stocks in these "Hot" sectors may offer Swing Traders another opportunity to get LONG in the near future.

Keep them on your radar and look for Swing Trade set ups that offer the lowest risk and highest reward.

As always…be prepared for ANYTHING!

Until next week…Good trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – March 26, 2010

Friday, March 26th, 2010

Is this the market that never stops?

This is the kind of rally that a lot of traders find very difficult to trade.

"But everything has gone straight up!"… you might say.

Yes and that is the PROBLEM!

When a market rallies like it has, for the last month or so, traders that missed the initial move are STILL WAITING for the market to "take a breather" and pullback so they can get LONG!

To sum it up…THEY HAVE MISSED THE BOAT!

Now I will agree that the rally we have seen is a bit atypical and at times it seems that you would be chasing the market if you entered into any new LONG trades.

I will argue, however, that if you look at the chart patterns and price action of some of the ETF's and individual stocks you will have found plenty of opportunity to BUY strong stocks.

This is one of the main reason we like Swing Trading ETF's and individual stocks.

We can compare their performance against the overall market.

We can determine whether a sector ETF or stock is "STRONG" or "WEAK" in relation to the market.

Our Swing Trading Blog (the one you are reading right now) posts a "Week in Review" every Friday.

Using just the information posted on that blog last week you could have had a great starting point to locate some swing trades this week.

For the last two weeks we posted to the blog that the Oil and Energy ETF's (OIH and XLE) did NOT seem like they wanted to participate in the recent rally (Relative WEAKNESS).

Not the best time to look for SHORT setups since the market is making NEW HIGHS so what about STRONG sectors?

Last week we also posted on the blog that Real Estate, Retail and Gaming have been some of the strongest sectors (Relative STRENGTH) out there.

We also posted a Swing Trading chart of XHB, the homebuilders sector ETF, which has also been a very strong sector lately.

We told you we would continue to watch these strong sectors as well as the major stocks in these sectors for swing trading setups.

On Monday morning the market gapped down but never broke through last Fridays low.

Once it held this low you should have been looking to get LONG if the market were to continue its strong rally UP.

This is where a lot of traders "miss the boat".

After Fridays HIGH VOLUME sell off they think that the market has finally started to "pullback" or "retrace".

These traders then start doing their nightly scans for stocks to trade the next day.

The problem is they are looking for SHORT trades and do not even consider looking for stocks to BUY.

Because of this they are NOT prepared when the market proves them wrong (like it did).

Because of this they missed swing trade setups in stocks like WYNN, LVS, MGM, DRE, KIM and O (all from last weeks blog).

And probably also missed the swing trade opportunity when XHB gapped down into support (see charts) and then rallied nicely to NEW HIGHS!

XHB Swing Trading ETF

The next they know the market moves UP strong and they are FLAT (no positions)!

The market moves up again the next day and they don't want to "chase the market " so again they dont do anything but sit and watch.

This is exactly how you miss big moves in the market like we have had over the last month!

Just remember, we never KNOW for certain what the market WILL do!

And like I said last week, as swing traders, we need to be prepared for WHATEVER the market decides to do.

That way once the market decides we, as traders, can simply follow and make the appropriate decisions.

Until next week…do your homework and BE PREPARED FOR ANYTHING!

And as always…Good Trading to YOU!

Swing Trading Week in Review – March 19, 2010

Friday, March 19th, 2010

Well after the indices continued to rally and make NEW HIGHS for the year early in the week, the market finally ran into some selling pressure on Friday.

The interesting thing to notice, also on Friday, was the HIGH VOLUME the accompanied the sell off.

A few sectors actually started their sell offs a day earlier.

Last week we posted that we noticed that the Energy, Oil and Semiconductor sectors did NOT participate in the recent rally.

And while the Semiconductors (SMH) actually started to show some strength early in the week both the Energy (XLE) and Oil (OIH) ETF's sold off sharply on Thursday and Friday.

Some of the strongest sectors during this last rally, Retail and Gaming, had mediocre weeks but look good moving forward into next week.

Keep an eye on the Retail stocks, the RTH and gaming stocks like MGM, LVS, and WYNN.

One sector that continues to rally strong is Real Estate.

IYR, and stocks like KIM, DRE, O and SPG, all had a good week and also show some potential new BUY set ups for next week.

The Homebuilder sector, (XHB), which has also been showing tremendous strength after breaking above the $16.40 level, has an interesting chart going into next week.

XHB Swing Trading ETF

You can see how XHB ran up to just over $17 after it finally broke out above the $16.40 level.

XHB did sell off a bit on Thursday and Friday on relatively light volume.

This is the exact situation you want to see during a pullback AFTER a BREAKOUT!

As XHB pulls back into the BREAKOUT level of $16.40 we will look for this previous RESISTANCE LEVEL to hold as a new SUPPORT LEVEL.

So after Fridays HIGH VOLUME SELL OFF what can we expect next week?

Well it does seem that the market is a bit overdue for a pullback but, as Swing Traders, we need to be prepared for whatever the market decides to do.

Since the market is SO STRONG we will continue to look for LONG Swing trade set ups in STRONG stocks that are trading in the STRONGEST sectors.

Until next week…Good Trading to you!

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